Commodity Market Report
China coal 10-year investment horizon outlook - 2023
Report summary
We estimate seaborne imports to increase significantly by 115 Mt, or 55%, in 2023 compared to 2022. It is the key driver behind the QHD price’s fall to below RMB1,000/t in 2023 from RMB1,274/t in 2022. Will seaborne imports continue to increase or remain at around 300 Mt per year for the next decade? We do not think so. On the contrary, China’s thermal coal market will face big changes that will have significant impacts on seaborne imports. For metallurgical coal, steel demand from the construction sector will be the biggest contributor to the overall demand drop. However, this fall could be even more rapid due to the gradual phasing out of BF-BOF steelmaking. How bad will it be for coal miners? Who will lose and who will maintain its position? For more details, please read our report.
Table of contents
- Thermal
- Met
- Report name change
Tables and charts
No table or charts specified
What's included
This report contains:
Other reports you may be interested in
Commodity Market Report
Global metallurgical coal 10-year investment horizon outlook - 2023
Will investing in metallurgical coal pay off over the next decade?
$10,000
Commodity Market Report
North America coal 10-year investment horizon outlook - 2023
Over the next decade, decarbonization measures push out fossil fuels. Coal-fired generation dwindles to just 6% of the total mix.
$10,000
Commodity Market Report
Global thermal coal 10-year investment horizon outlook - 2023
The question for long-term thermal coal markets is: which is moving at a faster pace, demand-side decarbonization efforts or supply-side?
$10,000